“I know not with what weapons WW III will be fought, but WW IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”

-Albert Einstein

Introduction

In a pre-dawn TV address on February 24, Russian President Vladimir Putin declared Russian could not “feel safe, develop and exist” because of a constant threat from Ukraine.

Immediately, Russia launched a devastating attack on Ukraine, sending tanks, troops and warplanes into major Ukrainian cities.

Reaction of The West

NATO countries began to send weapons to Ukraine and the European Union, for the first time ever, began to buy and send arms to Ukraine.

The contribution made to Ukraine by President Biden has been significantly larger than the contributions of European countries. Since the war started, Biden has committed $65 billion to assist Ukraine. Despite the fact that few lawmakers have any idea where the $65 billion has gone, Biden says the spending on Ukraine will continue indefinitely.

Conflict Created by NATO

Top diplomats who oversaw post-Soviet negotiations with Russian in the 1990’s knew that if NATO ever expanded to Russia’s borders, it would lead to war. Russian would no more tolerate the expansion of NATO up to its border than the United States would tolerate Russian missiles in Cuba.

During the Russian troop build up prior to the invasion of Ukraine, rather than promise Russia that Ukraine would not be invited to join NATO, NATO leadership pushed Ukraine to hold a firm public line that they were seeking NATO membership.

Russian Annexations

On September 30, Putin signed a treaty annexing four Ukranian regions comprising 15 percent of Ukraine and about 4 million Ukrainians.

Putin stressed that Moscow is ready to use “all available” means to defend these annexed regions.

Nuclear Threat From Allied China and Russia

China’s nuclear expansion combined with an alliance with Russia has far reaching consequences for U.S. nuclear strategy, and the U.S. is not prepared for the change.

U.S. nuclear arsenal and strategy have only been designed to handle one nuclear adversary: Russia.

China’s leaders are increasing ties with nuclear Russia and working closely with nuclear aspirants Iran and North Korea.

Air Force General Anthony Cotton told the Senate Armed Services Committee in September that the United States would have to develop a strategy to contend with a unified nuclear threat from China and Russia.

Russia has the largest nuclear arsenal in the world with 1,500 nuclear weapons and 6,000 warheads. The United States has 1,400 nuclear weapons and 5,500 warheads.

China is reported to have 350 nuclear weapons but is drastically increasing porduction and is expected to have 1,000 nuclear weapons by 2030. Chinese warheads may be as high as 3,000 already.

James Fanell, former Director of Intelligence for the Pacific Fleet, said “the number one priority must be the rapid fielding of a nuclear arsenal and tactical nuclear weapons positioned in Japan, Korea and Taiwan. When measured against the backdrop of China’s nuclear breakout and Putin’s nuclear blackmail over Ukraine, the U.S. does not have a moment to lose.”

Conclusion

Russian gas sold to China is up 67 percent through May as Russian is providing energy stability to its friends.

Russian is making more money than ever from energy exports. Russia’s military is running an efficient war of attrition in Ukraine which Ukraine, with fewer resources, can not win.

Russia’s dealing with the West, from here on, will be on Russia’s terms.

Photo by jimjones420

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